Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.002956 0.003093 0.003233 0.003386 0.003549 0.003718 0.003907
2025-03-02 0.002742 0.002950 0.003170 0.003422 0.003701 0.004003 0.004355
2025-03-09 0.002577 0.002825 0.003094 0.003410 0.003770 0.004172 0.004657
2025-03-16 0.002445 0.002719 0.003023 0.003387 0.003813 0.004300 0.004904
2025-03-23 0.002320 0.002611 0.002939 0.003338 0.003816 0.004374 0.005082
2025-03-30 0.002216 0.002520 0.002867 0.003297 0.003820 0.004443 0.005251
2025-04-06 0.002147 0.002466 0.002835 0.003298 0.003872 0.004567 0.005489
2025-04-13 0.002031 0.002350 0.002722 0.003196 0.003790 0.004520 0.005505
2025-04-20 0.001980 0.002309 0.002698 0.003199 0.003837 0.004635 0.005730
2025-04-27 0.001954 0.002297 0.002709 0.003245 0.003937 0.004819 0.006053
2025-05-04 0.001894 0.002241 0.002661 0.003214 0.003937 0.004870 0.006198
2025-05-11 0.001845 0.002197 0.002626 0.003198 0.003954 0.004943 0.006374
2025-05-18 0.001792 0.002147 0.002584 0.003171 0.003956 0.004997 0.006528
2025-05-25 0.001769 0.002134 0.002587 0.003203 0.004039 0.005163 0.006848
2025-06-01 0.001729 0.002097 0.002559 0.003192 0.004061 0.005245 0.007049
2025-06-08 0.001687 0.002057 0.002524 0.003171 0.004068 0.005306 0.007219
2025-06-15 0.001638 0.002006 0.002474 0.003127 0.004040 0.005314 0.007311
2025-06-22 0.001594 0.001961 0.002430 0.003089 0.004020 0.005332 0.007416
2025-06-29 0.001567 0.001937 0.002414 0.003090 0.004054 0.005429 0.007647
2025-07-06 0.001505 0.001866 0.002332 0.002996 0.003949 0.005318 0.007544
2025-07-13 0.001483 0.001847 0.002320 0.003000 0.003984 0.005415 0.007777
2025-07-20 0.001476 0.001848 0.002335 0.003041 0.004076 0.005600 0.008161
2025-07-27 0.001443 0.001814 0.002302 0.003013 0.004063 0.005625 0.008282